Sentiment towards BP and Shell has strengthened significantly off the back of oil price spikes. But it’s a complex picture. Neither company has production in Iran. But BP’s significant production in Iraq and Abu Dhabi risks being bottlenecked through disruption to the Strait of Hormuz. For Shell the same applies to its LNG facilities in Qatar and the Emirates. If a moderate sustainable regime is established in Iran, there is the potential for substantial derisking, and for prices to be rebased downwards. If sanctions are removed, it also opens the door for investment into Iranian oil fields.
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Note the implication of uniqueness here: given our set of n+1
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People also often struggle to decide how much equipment to take with them when they undertake a long climb. "The more you carry, the heavier your pack," says El. But packing too light "opens you up to risk," says editor of Alpinist magazine, Derek Franz.