The layoffs come after a strong quarter for Block, with revenue, profit, and customer base all growing. But Dorsey appears to think that the rise of AI makes this move inevitable, presenting the decision as a choice between doing one sharp cut now, or laying people off slowly over a longer period of time.
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展望长期，两个关键变量值得关注。一是国产存储厂商（长鑫存储、长江存储）的产能提升能否平抑价格。目前看，在LPDDR5X等高端领域，国产渗透率尚低，短期内难以撼动定价权。二是端侧AI能否真正普及，证明“大内存”的体验价值。如果用户花了钱却没感受到AI的便利，后续换机动能将进一步枯竭。